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07 Nov · 09:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MSMaciej Sinicki
🇵🇱Maciej Sinicki
ELO 1354
0-3Final setsRolak won
JRJaroslaw Rolak
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1305
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sinicki at 61%. The actual result was Jaroslaw Rolak 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Sinicki favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 40.5
72 points played
Over
Set handicap
Sinicki −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Sinicki −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 0-3 at close
5.2
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maciej Sinicki is favoured to win, below means Jaroslaw Rolak.

▲ Maciej Sinickipre 65% → final 7%
Jaroslaw Rolak ▼
Biggest swing 74 ptsRolak recovered from 23%71 points · 3 games