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07 Nov · 10:25 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JRJaroslaw Rolak
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1305
3-1Final setsRolak won
DPDawid Poloszczanski
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1251
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Rolak at 53%. The actual result was Jaroslaw Rolak 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Rolak favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 79.5
79 points played
Under
Set handicap
Rolak −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Rolak −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.65
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jaroslaw Rolak is favoured to win, below means Dawid Poloszczanski.

▲ Jaroslaw Rolakpre 57% → final 100%
Dawid Poloszczanski ▼
Biggest swing 57 ptsRolak recovered from 43%57 points · 3 games