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07 Nov · 11:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KGKrzysztof Guminski
🇵🇱Krzysztof Guminski
ELO 1297
3-2Final setsGuminski won
JRJaroslaw Rolak
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1305
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Guminski at 50%. The actual result was Krzysztof Guminski 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Rolak favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 75.5
94 points played
Over
Set handicap
Rolak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Rolak −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.85
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Krzysztof Guminski is favoured to win, below means Jaroslaw Rolak.

▲ Krzysztof Guminskipre 46% → final 77%
Jaroslaw Rolak ▼
Biggest swing 75 ptsGuminski recovered from 23%72 points · 5 games