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07 Nov · 12:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PJPatryk Jedrzejak
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1628
3-2Final setsJedrzejak won
SSSebastian Szostok
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1551
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Jedrzejak at 55%. The actual result was Patryk Jedrzejak 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Patryk Jedrzejak favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Total 74.5
89 points played
Over
Set handicap
Patryk Jedrzejak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Patryk Jedrzejak −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Patryk Jedrzejak is favoured to win, below means Sebastian Szostok.

▲ Patryk Jedrzejakpre 59% → final 98%
Sebastian Szostok ▼
Biggest swing 78 ptsJedrzejak recovered from 21%72 points · 5 games