7 Nov · 19:55 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
DF
🇵🇱Damian Fira
ELO 1435
FormWWWWW
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Durda
MD
🇵🇱Michal Durda
ELO 1649
FormWWWWW
28%
72%
Fair odds · Durda
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~73 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+214
H2H8-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+214)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-0)