7 Nov · 21:40 MEZLow · Slight Edge
KK
🇵🇱Krystian Kolodziej
ELO 1738
FormWWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kolodziej
JC
🇵🇱Jakub Chmielowski
ELO 1701
FormWLWWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Kolodziej
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+37
H2H47-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.