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07 Nov · 15:40 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KGKrzysztof Guminski
🇵🇱Krzysztof Guminski
ELO 1297
3-2Final setsGuminski won
DPDawid Poloszczanski
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1251
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Guminski at 55%. The actual result was Krzysztof Guminski 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Krzysztof Guminski favoured — closing 1.4
Favourite won
Total 73.5
92 points played
Over
Set handicap
Krzysztof Guminski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Krzysztof Guminski −6.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Krzysztof Guminski is favoured to win, below means Dawid Poloszczanski.

▲ Krzysztof Guminskipre 59% → final 98%
Dawid Poloszczanski ▼
Biggest swing 72 ptsGuminski recovered from 26%72 points · 5 games