7 Nov · 21:20 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
AZ
🇵🇱Artur Zmijewski
ELO 1640
FormLWLLW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Zmijewski
AF
🇵🇱Andriej Fomin
ELO 1503
FormWLLWL
65%
35%
🌟Fomin covers set handicap as underdog 66% (38)
Fair odds · Zmijewski
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 54% · 1.84· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+137
H2H11-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+137)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-9)