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07 Nov · 17:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KSKarol Sulkowski
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1311
3-0Final setsSulkowski won
AMArkadiusz Mugowski
🇵🇱Arkadiusz Mugowski
ELO 1387
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mugowski at 56%. The actual result was Karol Sulkowski 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Arkadiusz Mugowski favoured — closing 1.52
Upset
Total 75.5
69 points played
Under
Set handicap
Arkadiusz Mugowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Arkadiusz Mugowski −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
9
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Karol Sulkowski is favoured to win, below means Arkadiusz Mugowski.

▲ Karol Sulkowskipre 40% → final 87%
Arkadiusz Mugowski ▼
Biggest swing 64 ptsSulkowski recovered from 29%67 points · 3 games