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07 Nov · 18:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
WWWojciech Wojtaszczyk
🇵🇱Wojciech Wojtaszczyk
ELO 1542
3-0Final setsWojtaszczyk won
SSSebastian Szostok
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1551
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wojtaszczyk at 52%. The actual result was Wojciech Wojtaszczyk 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Wojciech Wojtaszczyk favoured — closing 1.8
Favourite won
Total 77.5
59 points played
Under
Set handicap
Wojciech Wojtaszczyk −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Wojciech Wojtaszczyk −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
6.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Wojciech Wojtaszczyk is favoured to win, below means Sebastian Szostok.

▲ Wojciech Wojtaszczykpre 56% → final 95%
Sebastian Szostok ▼
Biggest swing 58 ptsWojtaszczyk recovered from 37%72 points · 5 games