7 Nov · 20:45 MEZMedium · Model Lean
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jedrzejowski
ELO 1584
FormLLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Jedrzejowski
AK
🇵🇱Artur Kubiak
ELO 1533
FormWLLLL
56%
44%
🌟Jedrzejowski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (17)
Fair odds · Jedrzejowski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+51
H2H10-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+51)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-5)