7 Nov · 21:10 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1474
FormLWWLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Tkaczyk
MS
🇵🇱Mateusz Sikon
ELO 1350
FormLLLLL
63%
37%
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~75 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+124
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+124)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)