7 Nov · 21:10 MEZLow · Slight Edge
CP
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1619
FormLWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kocik
TK
🇵🇱Tomasz Kocik
ELO 1658
FormWLWWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Kocik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+39
H2H5-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.