7 Nov · 21:40 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nosiadek
ELO 1334
FormLLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Nosiadek
KG
🇵🇱Krzysztof Guminski
ELO 1290
FormLLLWL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Nosiadek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 55% · 1.83· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+44
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)