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07 Nov · 20:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JSJakub Skorupa
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1508
2-3Final setsSzurgot won
ASAndrzej Szurgot
🇵🇱Andrzej Szurgot
ELO 1506
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Skorupa at 52%. The actual result was Andrzej Szurgot 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jakub Skorupa favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 74.5
89 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jakub Skorupa −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jakub Skorupa −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Skorupa is favoured to win, below means Andrzej Szurgot.

▲ Jakub Skorupapre 56% → final 23%
Andrzej Szurgot ▼
Biggest swing 74 ptsSzurgot recovered from 3%72 points · 5 games