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07 Nov · 21:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
CPCezary Pawlik
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1599
1-3Final setsSkorupa won
JSJakub Skorupa
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1508
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pawlik at 61%. The actual result was Jakub Skorupa 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Cezary Pawlik favoured — closing 1.52
Upset
Total 75.5
72 points played
Under
Set handicap
Cezary Pawlik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Cezary Pawlik −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Cezary Pawlik is favoured to win, below means Jakub Skorupa.

▲ Cezary Pawlikpre 58% → final 17%
Jakub Skorupa ▼
Biggest swing 52 ptsSkorupa recovered from 42%70 points · 4 games