7 Nov · 23:35 MEZMedium · Model Lean
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jedrzejowski
ELO 1582
FormLWLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Jedrzejowski
JS
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1508
FormWLLWL
58%
42%
🌟Jedrzejowski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (17)
Fair odds · Jedrzejowski
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~79 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+74
H2H7-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-5)