7 Nov · 23:55 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
MD
🇵🇱Michal Durda
ELO 1657
FormWWWWW
80%Win chancemodel fair 1.25Durda
MS
🇵🇱Mateusz Sikon
ELO 1349
FormWLLLL
80%
20%
Fair odds · Durda
Model 80% · 1.25vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 63%Total ~73 pts
3-0
34%
3-1
29%
3-2
16%
2-3
8%
1-3
8%
Elo Gap+308
H2H11-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+308)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-1)