8 Nov · 00:40 MEZMedium · Model Lean
GS
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1392
FormWWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Sawicki
MS
🇵🇱Mateusz Sikon
ELO 1346
FormLWLLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Sawicki
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+46
H2H13-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-7)