8 Nov · 01:10 MEZLow · Coin Flip
AK
🇵🇱Artur Kubiak
ELO 1513
FormLLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kubiak
JS
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1502
FormLWLLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Kubiak
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+11
H2H18-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.