8 Nov · 00:50 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
CP
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1603
FormWLLLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Pawlik
AS
🇵🇱Andrzej Szurgot
ELO 1505
FormLWWWW
61%
39%
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 59% · 1.71· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+98
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)