8 Nov · 01:55 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
DF
🇵🇱Damian Fira
ELO 1403
FormLLLLL
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Durda
MD
🇵🇱Michal Durda
ELO 1667
FormWWWWW
24%
76%
Fair odds · Durda
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 76% · 1.32· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~73 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
28%
2-3
16%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+264
H2H9-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+264)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-0)