8 Nov · 02:25 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
CP
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1603
FormWLLLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Pawlik
JS
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1494
FormLLWLL
62%
38%
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+109
H2H11-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+109)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-8)