8 Nov · 02:35 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1489
FormWWLLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Stapor
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1335
FormLWWWW
66%
34%
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 74% · 1.36· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+154
H2H22-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+154)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-19)