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08 Nov · 02:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JSJakub Skorupa
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1490
3-2Final setsSkorupa won
ASAndrzej Szurgot
🇵🇱Andrzej Szurgot
ELO 1495
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Skorupa at 52%. The actual result was Jakub Skorupa 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jakub Skorupa favoured — closing 1.65
Favourite won
Set handicap
Jakub Skorupa −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jakub Skorupa −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Skorupa is favoured to win, below means Andrzej Szurgot.

▲ Jakub Skorupapre 56% → final 77%
Andrzej Szurgot ▼
Biggest swing 72 ptsSkorupa recovered from 5%72 points · 5 games