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← TT Elite Series predictions
08 Nov · 10:50 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PGPiotr Goniowski
🇵🇱Piotr Goniowski
ELO 1482
3-2Final setsGoniowski won
JWJacek Wieczerzak
🇵🇱Jacek Wieczerzak
ELO 1554
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wieczerzak at 59%. The actual result was Piotr Goniowski 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jacek Wieczerzak favoured — closing 1.42
Upset
Total 74.5
100 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jacek Wieczerzak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jacek Wieczerzak −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.9
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Piotr Goniowski is favoured to win, below means Jacek Wieczerzak.

▲ Piotr Goniowskipre 44% → final 4%
Jacek Wieczerzak ▼
Biggest swing 43 pts69 points · 4 games