8 Nov · 13:00 MEZMedium · Model Lean
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Goniowski
ELO 1482
FormWLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Goniowski
WB
🇵🇱Witold Buczynski
ELO 1424
FormLWWWL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Goniowski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+58
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)