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08 Nov · 04:40 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BMBartlomiej Mleczko
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1468
3-0Final setsMleczko won
MMMateusz Misiak
🇵🇱Mateusz Misiak
ELO 1404
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mleczko at 56%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Mleczko 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Bartlomiej Mleczko favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Total 74.5
52 points played
Under
Set handicap
Bartlomiej Mleczko −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Bartlomiej Mleczko −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
4.6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Mleczko is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Misiak.

▲ Bartlomiej Mleczkopre 60% → final 96%
Mateusz Misiak ▼
Biggest swing 38 pts51 points · 3 games