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08 Nov · 06:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KJKrzysztof Juszczyk
🇵🇱Krzysztof Juszczyk
ELO 1529
3-1Final setsJuszczyk won
LBLukasz Bernacki
🇵🇱Lukasz Bernacki
ELO 1451
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Juszczyk at 54%. The actual result was Krzysztof Juszczyk 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Krzysztof Juszczyk favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 75.5
66 points played
Under
Set handicap
Krzysztof Juszczyk −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Krzysztof Juszczyk −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.85
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Krzysztof Juszczyk is favoured to win, below means Lukasz Bernacki.

▲ Krzysztof Juszczykpre 58% → final 96%
Lukasz Bernacki ▼
Biggest swing 41 pts64 points · 4 games