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08 Nov · 07:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MSMaciej Sinicki
🇵🇱Maciej Sinicki
ELO 1348
1-3Final setsWisniewski won
BWBartlomiej Wisniewski
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1273
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sinicki at 60%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Wisniewski 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Maciej Sinicki favoured — closing 1.37
Upset
Total 76.5
82 points played
Over
Set handicap
Maciej Sinicki −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Maciej Sinicki −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 1-3 at close
3.15
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maciej Sinicki is favoured to win, below means Bartlomiej Wisniewski.

▲ Maciej Sinickipre 57% → final 6%
Bartlomiej Wisniewski ▼
Biggest swing 57 ptsWisniewski recovered from 40%72 points · 4 games