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08 Nov · 08:15 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
TPTadeusz Piotrowski
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1426
2-3Final setsMyszewski won
AMAdrian Myszewski
🇵🇱Adrian Myszewski
ELO 1434
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Myszewski at 55%. The actual result was Adrian Myszewski 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Tadeusz Piotrowski favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 74.5
81 points played
Over
Set handicap
Tadeusz Piotrowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Tadeusz Piotrowski −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
5.3
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Tadeusz Piotrowski is favoured to win, below means Adrian Myszewski.

▲ Tadeusz Piotrowskipre 48% → final 10%
Adrian Myszewski ▼
Biggest swing 90 ptsMyszewski recovered from 10%72 points · 5 games