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08 Nov · 07:50 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MMMarcin Marchlewski
🇵🇱Marcin Marchlewski
ELO 1620
0-3Final setsMisiak won
MMMateusz Misiak
🇵🇱Mateusz Misiak
ELO 1404
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Marchlewski at 59%. The actual result was Mateusz Misiak 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marcin Marchlewski favoured — closing 1.3
Upset
Total 74.5
64 points played
Under
Set handicap
Marcin Marchlewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marcin Marchlewski −7.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Marchlewski is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Misiak.

▲ Marcin Marchlewskipre 63% → final 1%
Mateusz Misiak ▼
Biggest swing 63 ptsMisiak recovered from 37%63 points · 3 games