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08 Nov · 08:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PSPiotr Staniszewski
🇵🇱Piotr Staniszewski
ELO 1330
1-3Final setsPoloszczanski won
DPDawid Poloszczanski
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1261
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Staniszewski at 50%. The actual result was Dawid Poloszczanski 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Piotr Staniszewski favoured — closing 1.65
Upset
Total 76.5
72 points played
Under
Set handicap
Piotr Staniszewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Piotr Staniszewski −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 1-3 at close
4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Piotr Staniszewski is favoured to win, below means Dawid Poloszczanski.

▲ Piotr Staniszewskipre 46% → final 5%
Dawid Poloszczanski ▼
Biggest swing 49 pts71 points · 4 games