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08 Nov · 08:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MKMarek Kowol
🇵🇱Marek Kowol
ELO 1324
0-3Final setsWisniewski won
BWBartlomiej Wisniewski
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1273
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kowol at 60%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Wisniewski 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marek Kowol favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Total 76.5
61 points played
Under
Set handicap
Marek Kowol −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marek Kowol −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 0-3 at close
4.7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marek Kowol is favoured to win, below means Bartlomiej Wisniewski.

▲ Marek Kowolpre 64% → final 3%
Bartlomiej Wisniewski ▼
Biggest swing 65 ptsWisniewski recovered from 35%60 points · 3 games