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08 Nov · 09:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MSMaciej Sinicki
🇵🇱Maciej Sinicki
ELO 1348
3-0Final setsSinicki won
PSPiotr Staniszewski
🇵🇱Piotr Staniszewski
ELO 1330
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Staniszewski at 52%. The actual result was Maciej Sinicki 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Piotr Staniszewski favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 75.5
68 points played
Under
Set handicap
Piotr Staniszewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Piotr Staniszewski −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
6.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maciej Sinicki is favoured to win, below means Piotr Staniszewski.

▲ Maciej Sinickipre 44% → final 95%
Piotr Staniszewski ▼
Biggest swing 59 ptsSinicki recovered from 38%67 points · 3 games