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08 Nov · 10:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BWBartlomiej Wisniewski
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1273
3-2Final setsWisniewski won
MKMarek Kowol
🇵🇱Marek Kowol
ELO 1324
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kowol at 56%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Wisniewski 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marek Kowol favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Total 76.5
91 points played
Over
Set handicap
Marek Kowol −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marek Kowol −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Wisniewski is favoured to win, below means Marek Kowol.

▲ Bartlomiej Wisniewskipre 40% → final 97%
Marek Kowol ▼
Biggest swing 60 ptsWisniewski recovered from 40%60 points · 3 games