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08 Nov · 10:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
SSSebastian Szostok
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1542
2-3Final setsKowalski won
KKKamil Kowalski
🇵🇱Kamil Kowalski
ELO 1265
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Szostok at 73%. The actual result was Kamil Kowalski 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Sebastian Szostok favoured — closing 1.2
Upset
Total 73.5
97 points played
Over
Set handicap
Sebastian Szostok −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Sebastian Szostok −8.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Sebastian Szostok is favoured to win, below means Kamil Kowalski.

▲ Sebastian Szostokpre 72% → final 29%
Kamil Kowalski ▼
Biggest swing 59 ptsKowalski recovered from 12%72 points · 5 games