8 Nov · 12:05 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1468
FormLLLWL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Marchlewski
MM
🇵🇱Marcin Marchlewski
ELO 1620
FormWLLWW
34%
66%
Fair odds · Marchlewski
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+152
H2H11-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+152)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)