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08 Nov · 12:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DPDawid Poloszczanski
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1276
3-2Final setsPoloszczanski won
AEAdrian Eliasz
🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz
ELO 1375
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Eliasz at 65%. The actual result was Dawid Poloszczanski 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Adrian Eliasz favoured — closing 1.35
Upset
Total 73.5
94 points played
Over
Set handicap
Adrian Eliasz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Adrian Eliasz −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
6.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dawid Poloszczanski is favoured to win, below means Adrian Eliasz.

▲ Dawid Poloszczanskipre 30% → final 1%
Adrian Eliasz ▼
Biggest swing 30 pts47 points · 3 games