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08 Nov · 12:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PJPatryk Jedrzejak
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1621
1-3Final setsSzostok won
SSSebastian Szostok
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1552
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Jedrzejak at 55%. The actual result was Sebastian Szostok 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Patryk Jedrzejak favoured — closing 1.57
Upset
Total 75.5
75 points played
Under
Set handicap
Patryk Jedrzejak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Patryk Jedrzejak −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Patryk Jedrzejak is favoured to win, below means Sebastian Szostok.

▲ Patryk Jedrzejakpre 52% → final 12%
Sebastian Szostok ▼
Biggest swing 69 ptsSzostok recovered from 19%72 points · 4 games