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08 Nov · 11:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PSPiotr Staniszewski
🇵🇱Piotr Staniszewski
ELO 1327
3-2Final setsStaniszewski won
MKMarek Kowol
🇵🇱Marek Kowol
ELO 1317
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Staniszewski at 54%. The actual result was Piotr Staniszewski 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Kowol favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 40.5
100 points played
Over
Set handicap
Kowol −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Kowol −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Piotr Staniszewski is favoured to win, below means Marek Kowol.

▲ Piotr Staniszewskipre 58% → final 5%
Marek Kowol ▼
Biggest swing 56 ptsKowol recovered from 42%72 points · 4 games