8 Nov · 13:45 MEZMedium · Model Lean
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1480
FormWLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Mleczko
AM
🇵🇱Adrian Myszewski
ELO 1438
FormWLWWL
55%
45%
🌟Mleczko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (28)
Fair odds · Mleczko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+42
H2H10-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+42)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-8)