8 Nov · 14:15 MEZMedium · Model Lean
PS
🇵🇱Piotr Staniszewski
ELO 1327
FormWLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Eliasz
AE
🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz
ELO 1375
FormLWWWW
45%
55%
🌟Eliasz rarely covers set handicap as favourite 20% (20)
Fair odds · Eliasz
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+48
H2H11-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-10)