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08 Nov · 15:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DPDawid Poloszczanski
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1285
3-1Final setsPoloszczanski won
MKMarek Kowol
🇵🇱Marek Kowol
ELO 1296
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kowol at 53%. The actual result was Dawid Poloszczanski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marek Kowol favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Total 76.5
76 points played
Under
Set handicap
Marek Kowol −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marek Kowol −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dawid Poloszczanski is favoured to win, below means Marek Kowol.

▲ Dawid Poloszczanskipre 50% → final 89%
Marek Kowol ▼
Biggest swing 80 ptsPoloszczanski recovered from 18%72 points · 4 games