9 Nov · 04:10 MEZLow · Coin Flip
KK
🇵🇱Kacper Kwiatkowski
ELO 1425
FormWWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Michalik
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1433
FormLWLWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Michalik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+8
H2H10-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.