9 Nov · 01:20 MEZMedium · Model Lean
AS
🇵🇱Andrzej Szurgot
ELO 1477
FormLLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Szurgot
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1433
FormLWLWL
55%
45%
🌟Michalik covers set handicap as underdog 66% (56)
Fair odds · Szurgot
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+44
H2H2-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)