8 Nov · 23:45 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
KK
🇵🇱Kacper Kwiatkowski
ELO 1425
FormWWWWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Kubiak
AK
🇵🇱Artur Kubiak
ELO 1535
FormWLWLW
38%
62%
Fair odds · Kubiak
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+110
H2H6-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-5)