8 Nov · 23:20 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
AS
🇵🇱Andrzej Szurgot
ELO 1477
FormLLLWL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Szurgot
KB
🇵🇱Krzysztof Bladziak
ELO 1298
FormWLLLW
69%
31%
Fair odds · Szurgot
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 81% · 1.23· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~73 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+179
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+179)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)