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08 Nov · 19:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MLMikolaj Lukaszewski
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1258
2-3Final setsSulkowski won
KSKarol Sulkowski
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1338
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sulkowski at 58%. The actual result was Karol Sulkowski 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Karol Sulkowski favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 75.5
93 points played
Over
Set handicap
Karol Sulkowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Karol Sulkowski −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mikolaj Lukaszewski is favoured to win, below means Karol Sulkowski.

▲ Mikolaj Lukaszewskipre 45% → final 10%
Karol Sulkowski ▼
Biggest swing 57 ptsSulkowski recovered from 38%72 points · 5 games