8 Nov · 21:30 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1580
FormWWWLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Marud
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1432
FormLWWWW
66%
34%
🌟Marud stays under total as favourite 78% (41)
Fair odds · Marud
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+148
H2H21-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+148)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-20)